The 100: Day Seven

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Eliminated

Game Master’s Notes

It’s Day Seven, and there are only six of you left! First of all, I’d like you all to pat yourselves on the back if you’ve made it this far. A very impressive feat, what with all the twists, challenges, and villains we’ve thrown at you.

Unfortunately, we had to say goodbye to Anna during Night Six. As you can see, she did not have magic voting powers, but if you’ve seen the show, you know you can’t put a gun in Bellamy Blake’s hands and not expect him to use it. 😉

And we’re still going, which means there are still threats for you to snuff out! With this few people left, is there anyone you can really trust?

As always, don’t be afraid to contact us if you have any questions or just want to chat in private about what’s going on during the Game. We are here to help and want to make this as fun of an experience as possible! If it’s urgent, keep our time zones in mind: Inge lives on CEST (GMT/UTC+1) and Shannon on ET (GMT/UTC-5).

It is now Day Seven.

You have until Sunday 7pm GMT to discuss suspicions and cast your votes. Once the deadline has been reached, the person with the most votes will be eliminated.

Good luck!

62 thoughts on “The 100: Day Seven”

  1. Aw crap, Anna. 😱😭 I guess our Team 100 kills couldn’t last forever, apparently.

    I admit that I was cackling a bit when Greg’s Role/Character was revealed. The lies, the audacity that he used was enormous. 😆 He was very twisty and look where it got him in some instances, though it didn’t end up working in the end.

    I was thinking about what he claimed vs. how it might have been true/”true”.

    Informed = not true. He knew there was a Traitor because the Mafia gets told there is one if past games are anything to go by/sample emails from the Role pages.

    Chat/Neighbor chat = there was a chat, but he lied about what it was. On that note, he said D3 when asked if his partner (since he said it was a Neighbor chat) was still alive that they were. This could have referred to Kerrie or it could still be someone else since we did have a kill N6 (unsure if it’s a Mafia kill or a x1 shot).

    The whole Titus/Lexa thing = last ditch effort not to be eliminated which clearly was untrue because he was a) not Titus and b) not a Grounder. Beth pointed out that this was likely a Hail Mary and how so (not a main Grounder that was as likely to be challenged, etc).

    We now have four confirmed Mafia deaths, though I think there’s one more, but since we don’t have the Cult leader, there’s still that to deal with.

    I think, since there are only 6 people left, a majority vote would require 4 votes because 3 would cause a stalemate, taking us to N7 where a kill could happen (since one did in N6, which makes me think there is 1 possible Mafia left). The tricky part is going to be figuring out how to knock out the person with recruiting power while also not getting the pro-Town people killed at Night. 🤔

  2. @Harker Your math makes sense, and also the fact that there was a Night kill means there’s at least 1 Mafia still alive. Which means 1-3 Cult and 2-4 Town.

    The tricky part is going to be figuring out how to knock out the person with recruiting power while also not getting the pro-Town people killed at Night.

    I can’t tell if your phrasing here means you think there’s a way to protect all Townies from a Night death, or that there’s a way to kill the Cult Leader in the next Night round (and since Anna’s dead, it looks like the only people who can kill at Night are Mafia…did you just out yourself?).

    Also, I want to apologize in advance- I’m super sick right now so it might be 24 hours before I can post coherently again. Please forgive my slowness. 🙂

  3. @Beth: hardly. What I meant was protecting the Townies remaining from recruitment/death since those are the two threats at Night. As to getting rid of the Cult Leader, I meant in voting since so far as I know and going by the evidence so far Anna was the only one with Town aligned killing abilities.

    I’d guess the remaining Mafia person is Maria based on behavior with known Mafia people, suspicious actions, and suspicions that have been stated in the past by a few people.

    I’m very sorry that you’re feeling poorly, Beth. 😷

  4. I feel like it was pretty obvious Greg was lying since the result of Day 3 and Meghan getting eliminated. 🙄

    I’m guessing that last mafia member coughMariacough was pretty freaked by Anna’s potential to kill at night, though now we know it was limited.

    Cult hasn’t won yet so we know there’s enough townspeople to still turn this around. Question is, can we do so without eliminating our mafia threat first? Or is it more prudent to figure out the cult leader toDay and deal with another mafia-related death on Night Seven and eliminate the mafia on Day Eight? IDK what’s best strategy at this point tbh. I hope there is only one mafia left.

  5. @Anne: a problem is unless we get the Cult Leader out, they can potentially keep recruiting even if we vote out the Mafia toDay. If we get them out, then that’s it so far as adding more Cult members is concerned. There could still be existing Cult members since we’re unsure what the exact numbers are, which would make D8 a challenge vote wise.

    I think it’s going to be…delicate, one way or the other. If we vote out the Cult Leader, we obviously risk the remaining Mafia lynching someone toNight barring any abilities, etc. If we don’t get out the Cult Leader, either through a wrong vote or because we go for the Mafia instead, then there’s the risk of the Cult recruiting another person toNight which would put the vote in danger D8 –>.

  6. @Harker:

    I guess our Team 100 kills couldn’t last forever, apparently.

    What do you mean by this? Does it imply that Anna is the last remaining from The 100? If so, how could you be so sure about that?

    PS: I’m writing something else but I’m waiting for the mods for that one 🙈

  7. I am very amazed that I was still being considered as the mafia 😂

    Well, anyway here it goes nothing.
    1) I received 2 investigative roles, Idk from whom or what. Could be from the night action or idk, but I used one last night on Anna because I was curious with her killing ability. Which turned out to be naught since she was killed.
    In any case, I still have 1 more that I can use tonight, assuming if you can trust me with the result then there’s that

    2) Are we certain that it was the mafia’s kill? What if it’s the result of a night action? And not to mention that I was given investigative role, someone out there could be given other role. Perhaps one of the cults was given a killing role and used it on Anna so they can turn the vote to me toDay?

    3) Anyway, if I am the mafia, I could have saved Greg on D6 by voting for myself instead (technically speaking it could be done?) since it was 4 against 3 on D6. And Greg is an Usurper, which meant his condition to win would be to be the last remaining mafia too. So he could have just outed me instead if I am the mafia what with the vote from D6.

    4) Well, if I am the mafia (which most of you seem to believe), why not use me tonight to kill the cult leader? And try to find the cult in the Day. Then you can always vote me out at D8 later?

    5) And since I’m not a mafia, I have the investigative role and if there’s no night kill, we can still do something with the result I had on N7 for D8.

    And if even after this there are those who voted for me, then it was most likely the people are from the cults. Because if I am the mafia, then the mafia is a threat to them 🤷 Tho I think we already kill the last mafia on D6 🤔

  8. @Maria:

    What do you mean by this? Does it imply that Anna is the last remaining from The 100? If so, how could you be so sure about that?

    That is not what it implies at all. I know she isn’t, first of all, and second, what I meant was that once she admitted that she was responsible and that she regretted killing a Townsperson, putting herself in the crosshairs, it was a matter of time.

    3) Anyway, if I am the mafia, I could have saved Greg on D6 by voting for myself instead (technically speaking it could be done?) since it was 4 against 3 on D6. And Greg is an Usurper, which meant his condition to win would be to be the last remaining mafia too. So he could have just outed me instead if I am the mafia what with the vote from D6.

    1. That would have looked insanely sus on your part. Do you think that would have actually saved him or just looked like another Mafia person trying to save another?

    2. As for the Usurper role, I think he only had to outlive one specific person in the Mafia (per the Role page) which I think was likely Nicole because she played Carl Emerson, the father character to his own. If you’ll notice, his original role was crossed off and Usurper added, almost like it was activated.

    4) Well, if I am the mafia (which most of you seem to believe), why not use me tonight to kill the cult leader? And try to find the cult in the Day. Then you can always vote me out at D8 later?

    5) And since I’m not a mafia, I have the investigative role and if there’s no night kill, we can still do something with the result I had on N7 for D8.

    😂 This double talk is very interesting.

  9. @Harker:

    Well, if I were a mafia, I could make the vote draw in D6 to save both of us, but I didn’t 🤷🏻‍♀️

    The double talk is to lighten up the Day 😂

    But all I can say the cult is the threat’s left. If there’s still mafia alive, just use them to kill the cult leader at night then vote them the next Day 🤷🏻‍♀️ The town then can win

  10. @Maria if you made the game draw yesterDay, then we absolutely would be coming for you. That’s the most suspicious thing you could have done. It’s like waving a flag and saying “hi, Greg and I are teammates!” There is nothing you could have done to save him yesterday.

    If I had still been awake when he “outed his character” I would have switched my vote to him just to seal the deal.

    In fact, I’m still annoyed at myself for being gullible enough to believe half of his lies, so I doubt I’ll be trusting anything anymore. (Why does this game make me so paranoid?!)

    So, the plan is we vote out the cult leader today? And then we vote out our presumably last mafia tomorrow?

  11. @Maria:

    But all I can say the cult is the threat’s left. If there’s still mafia alive, just use them to kill the cult leader at night then vote them the next Day 🤷🏻‍♀️ The town then can win

    What makes you think the Mafia would essentially roll over and do that? They have no reason to do so that I can see since that would be handing the game over.

    There’s something Anne said that I think may be interpreted two ways. Now, this could be because it’s been a long game, because I have had suspicions of her in the past since I did the long post, and so on, but there you go.

    Cult hasn’t won yet so we know there’s enough townspeople to still turn this around. Question is, can we do so without eliminating our mafia threat first? Or is it more prudent to figure out the cult leader toDay and deal with another mafia-related death on Night Seven and eliminate the mafia on Day Eight? IDK what’s best strategy at this point tbh. I hope there is only one mafia left.

    When I first read this as a whole, I didn’t think much of it because it was a cursory reading of the comments, but now that I’m having a chance to think about it a little more, this particular section got me:

    Cult hasn’t won yet so we know there’s enough townspeople to still turn this around. Question is, can we do so without eliminating our mafia threat first?

    This passage sounds a wee bit Cult-ish as in: the Cult hasn’t won because they still haven’t turned enough Townspeople and still have to deal with the Mafia threat. What do the rest of you think?

  12. @Harker

     which I think was likely Nicole because she played Carl Emerson, the father character to his own.

    Cage Wallace is the son of Dante Wallace, not Carl Emerson. But given the Usurper role looks like one given to Greg, not one that came with this character originally, I don’t know if we can speculate who he was meant to outlive.

    @Harker

    What makes you think the Mafia would essentially roll over and do that? They have no reason to do so that I can see since that would be handing the game over.

    On the one hand, Cult is only a threat to Mafia if Cult can recruit Mafia (which I doubt they can, because then the recruited Mafia would just tell them who else was Mafia, the Cult would recruit those people, and game over).
    And in fact, Mafia can use the Cult threat to point Townies at each other (or potentially Cultists) during the Day lynch as a means to stay alive (especially if there’s 2+ Mafia, because then it’s easier for them to manipulate the voting).
    On the other hand, if we have 1 Mafia left, then they would lose to a Cult majority the same time Town does, so it *is* in their best interest to eliminate the Cult Leader.
    For me the statement makes no sense because, unless they have investigative abilities, Mafia doesn’t have an edge over Town in identifying the Cult Leader. If we knew who it was, we’d just lynch them during the Day.

    So here’s the math, as near as I can tell (I’m assuming nobody aside from Mafia has a killing ability right now, and I’m assuming all Cultists don’t immediately die with their Cult Leader, like happened in ADSOM).
    Assuming right now we have 1 Mafia, 3 Cult (worst case scenario), and 4 Town:

    If we successfully lynch the Cult Leader toDay, Mafia makes a Night kill and there’s no recruitment on N7.
    If Mafia kills Townie, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 2 Cult, 3 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 3 others (depending on who was lynched D8 and who was killed N8, Cult might still have the majority and win at this point).
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D9, I’m pretty sure they win by the numbers.
    If Mafia kills Cultist, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 1 Cult, 4 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 3 others.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D9, I’m pretty sure they win by the numbers.

    If we successfully lynch a Cultist toDay, Mafia makes a Night kill and there may be a recruitment on N7.
    If Mafia kills Townie, no recruitment, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 2 Cult, 3 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 3 others (depending on who was lynched D8 and who was killed N8, Cult might still have the majority and win at this point).
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D9, I’m pretty sure they win by the numbers.
    If Mafia kills Cultist, no recruitment, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 1 Cult, 4 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 3 others.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D9, I’m pretty sure they win by the numbers.
    If Mafia kills Townie, recruitment happens, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 3 Cult, 2 Town. Cult wins on D8.
    If Mafia kills Cultist, recruitment happens, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 2 Cult, 3 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 3 others (depending on who was lynched D8 and who was killed N8, Cult might still have the majority and win at this point).
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D9, I’m pretty sure they win by the numbers.

    If we successfully lynch Mafia ToDay, there’s no Night kill but there may be a recruitment on N7.
    If recruitment happens, D8 starts with 4 Cult, 3 Town. Cult wins on D8.
    If no recruitment, D8 starts with 3 Cult, 4 Town.
    – If Cult Leader isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 2-4 Cult and 2-4 Town (depending on whether there was a recruitment N8, and whether Cult or Town was lynched D8).

    Please feel free to double check my math and logic- after focusing on this for an hour, I’m back to feeling woozy. Thanks for your well wishes. 🙂

  13. @Beth:

    Cage Wallace is the son of Dante Wallace, not Carl Emerson. But given the Usurper role looks like one given to Greg, not one that came with this character originally, I don’t know if we can speculate who he was meant to outlive.

    🤦‍♂️ I 100% confused Wallace and Emerson for some reason. My apologies.

    I’m having a little trouble with your math because it seems to be inherently flawed on the premise that it assumes we have more players that we do at this point. When did you write it up? We have six players at the moment (Anne, Beth, Harker, Maria, Meeghan, Shannon) so I’m following along as best I can with that in mind. Given that, how would it change your schematic, do you think? I’m sorry to ask you to do this when you’re ill. 😅

  14. So much for me thinking I was doing pretty well today….I wrote that today. I just, for some reason, thought we had 2 more people than we do. Ugh, yay fever. Sorry. Let me redo the numbers…

  15. @Beth: Maybe you mean 1 more people? 🙈 Get well soon though! It’s a crucial time right now

    @Harker: Well, if we assume there’s 1 mafia left. There’s not much can be done. Even if they kill 1 Town, they can still be voted out the next day. But if the town vote out the mafia and there’s a recruit tonight then the town is doomed to lose. So if you decide to vote for the mafia out (assuming we still have any) then it will be for the cult’s interest 🤷🏻‍♀️

    Also, what you mentioned about Anne seemed interesting

    @Anne: I mean, maybe? I guess? Let’s ask the mafia 😂

  16. Doing the math, v2.0, now with accurate numbers.
    If we started with 5 Mafia, we’d have 1 still in the game (more than 5 Mafia to start feels overpowered, but last Night’s death indicates, to me, that we still have Mafia in play).
    Assuming Cult controls the majority vote, and thus wins if they represent 50% of the player base (per the Wiki page), there have to be less than 3 of them. Which would mean 2 Cult and 3 Town.

    So assuming currently we have 1 Mafia, 2 Cult, 3 Town:
    If we successfully lynch the Cult Leader toDay, Mafia makes a Night kill and there’s no recruitment on N7.
    If Mafia kills a Townie, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 1 Cult, 2 Town.
– If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and either 1 Cult or 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.
If Mafia kills a Cultist, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 3 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.

    If we successfully lynch a Cultist toDay, Mafia makes a Night kill and there may be a recruitment on N7.
If Mafia kills a Townie, no recruitment, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 1 Cult, 2 Town.
– If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and either 1 Cult or 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.
If Mafia kills a Townie, recruitment happens, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 2 Cult, 1 Town. Cult wins D8.
If Mafia kills the Cult Leader, recruitment cannot happen, D8 starts with 1 Mafia and 3 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.

    If we successfully lynch Mafia ToDay, there’s no Night kill but there may be a recruitment on N7.
If recruitment happens, D8 starts with 3 Cult, 2 Town. Cult wins D8.
    If no recruitment, D8 starts with 2 Cult, 3 Town.
– If Cult Leader isn’t lynched D8, Cult wins D9.

    So the scenarios where Town wins:
    If we lynch the Cult Leader toDay and Mafia on D8, or vice versa.
    If we lynch a Cultist toDay, there’s no recruitment N7, and Mafia is lynched D8.
    In every scenario, if Mafia makes it to D9, they win.

  17. Oh bloody hell, the formatting’s messed up. Let me make it visually better.

    If we successfully lynch the Cult Leader toDay, Mafia makes a Night kill and there’s no recruitment on N7.
    *If Mafia kills a Townie, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 1 Cult, 2 Town.

    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and either 1 Cult or 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.

    *If Mafia kills a Cultist, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 3 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.

    If we successfully lynch a Cultist toDay, Mafia makes a Night kill and there may be a recruitment on N7.

    *If Mafia kills a Townie, no recruitment, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 1 Cult, 2 Town.

    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and either 1 Cult or 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.

    *If Mafia kills a Townie, recruitment happens, D8 starts with 1 Mafia, 2 Cult, 1 Town. Cult wins D8.

    *If Mafia kills the Cult Leader, recruitment cannot happen, D8 starts with 1 Mafia and 3 Town.
    – If Mafia isn’t lynched D8, then D9 starts with 1 Mafia and 1 Town. I’m pretty sure Mafia wins at this point.

    If we successfully lynch Mafia ToDay, there’s no Night kill but there may be a recruitment on N7.

    *If recruitment happens, D8 starts with 3 Cult, 2 Town. Cult wins D8.
    *If no recruitment, D8 starts with 2 Cult, 3 Town.

    – If Cult Leader isn’t lynched D8, Cult wins D9.

    So the scenarios where Town wins:
    *If we lynch the Cult Leader toDay and Mafia on D8, or vice versa.
    *If we lynch a Cultist toDay, there’s no recruitment N7, and Mafia is lynched D8.
    In every scenario, if Mafia makes it to D9, they win.

  18. I think if you lynch the mafia today, then the cult will win by default in D8.
    —> D7: 1 mafia + 2 cult (according to Beth) + 3 Town
    A) Lynch the mafia, the cult makes recruit D8 the cult wins (3 cult vs 2 towns)
    B) Lynch the cult leader in D7 (hopefully) then we are left with 1 mafia + 1 cult + 3 towns
    Hope that the mafia manage to kill the cultist
    Doesn’t matter either way, cause D8 mafia can be lynched out
    C) lynch cultist in D7
    Then the mafia be better killing the cult leader if they want to at least survive 🤷🏻‍♀️
    D) lynch townie (yes there’s this possibility for this) in D7
    Left with 1 mafia + 2 cults + 2 town
    Let’s hope the mafia manage to kill the cult leader before the recruitment then 🤷🏻‍♀️
    D.1) if mafia kills townie N7 and recruitment
    1 mafia + 3 cults —> the cult wins
    D.2) the mafia kills the cult leader and no recruitment
    1 mafia + 1 cult + 2 town —> town has a chance to win
    D.3) the mafia kills the cultist and recruitment
    1 mafia + 3 culfs —> the cult win

    So I don’t see the point where you think that the town can win with the vice versa thing. Killing mafia toDay will determine the cult’s winning. At least keeping the mafia’s alive the town has a chance to win 🤷🏻‍♀️

    Assuming that you’re all still Townie 🤔

    TLDR:
    – in any scenario for the town to win is to lynch the cult leader or the cultist
    – also this is based on D7 that we have 1 mafia + 3 towns + 2 cults
    – and the assumption there won’t be Judas?

  19. @Beth: based on your calculations, what are your thoughts on who the Cult Leader is? I don’t remember if you’ve said in a previous day at the moment and we’re in school right now so I can’t loo, but I think it would help it restate it toDay anyway now that you’ve done the calculations above.

    Based on my own thoughts, I think/hope that Beth and Meeghan were and are still Town. Shannon I think was Town but I’m leaning toward potentially having been converted. Anne I think may be the Cult Leader based on the write up I did D5 that encompassed her actions D1-D4. Maria , there’s the consensus that she’s Mafia (personally, based on her back and forth talk, her interactions with known Mafia particularly Greg and Amber B.).

  20. @Harker I’m working on a post about that. 😀 It’s slow going, because of the recurring brain fog, but it’s coming (hopefully tomorrow).
    To answer your question:
    On D5, I stated suspicion for Anna as possibly Cult (https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/10/30952/#comment-80075), but I was clearly wrong there.
    On D6, I stated my suspicions of Greg, Maria, and Anna (https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/17/30977/#comment-80189 & https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/17/30977/#comment-80251).
    I also mentioned looking at potential last-minute/bandwagon votes on Greg and Maria on D5, as potential data points to find Cult (https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/17/30977/#comment-80280) and the only person who voted in the final hour was Maria.

    At this point, I think Maria is Mafia, not Cult, given her behaviors and her creative interpretation of my math. So I’m analyzing Anne, Shannon, Harker, and Meeghan for potential Cult/suspicious behavior.

  21. Gah sorry for the late start toDay! Boy, what a SHOCK to see that Greg was Mt Weather and lied through his teeth for days! *Said with the most sarcasm anyone in the world can muster* I sure do wish we could have voted him out days prior when I started trying! Better late than never I guess.

    Sad to lose Anna and yet another 100 character overNight! I’m worried that there’s not many of us left!

    Heading up to read through the comments, back with more in a bit!

  22. @Harker I’m still confused why you think I may have been turned to Cult – just because I said I didn’t want to waste another day/vote going after Greg? I had literally wasted three straight days and gotten nowhere doing that, it only makes sense to try something new haha.

    This seems like a really far reach and makes me wonder why you are trying to divert attention to me?

  23. I’m not trying to divert attention to you specifically, exactly. I said in my roundup post on D6 why I slightly thought that you might have been converted which, yes, was due to the steep drop off of attention toward Greg in D5. Considering I was looking for changes in behavior, it seemed important to note and that, overall, was the most distinguishing one I noticed about you at the time of writing the post.

    Between you and Anne, the other person I’m considering as possible Cult, I would consider her a more likely candidate because a) I had considered you converted b) I had noted more…low-lying?…behavior from her overall which would seem to indicate to me Cult/Leader potential, especially at this stage in the game.

  24. I feel like Meeghan has been flying way under the radar overall so I’ve gone back and looked at my notes of her (which admittedly aren’t all that extensive compared to the notes and analyzing that you all do!).

    Day 1 – votes for Kara not Nicole
    Day 2 – mentioned suspicions of me, said I tied Grounders to Reapers, voted for Dana
    Day 3 – was the 4th person to vote for Megan. Her reasoning was that she thought Greg might be the traitor. Said she was “hinky” of Kerys, Megan, and me. Megan was town and died in some end of Day madness.

    Day 4 – she does heavy analysis of everyone. She is also the first one (I believe? Apologies if I am mis-remembering) to bring up that the Cult might not be Mt Weather turning Grounders into Reapers, but instead might be Alie as the leader recruiting people into the City of Light cult.

    This stood out to me as a great thought that I had completely overlooked, but now looking back on it I wonder how you came up with it? Are you the Cult leader, and did you use this statement as a bold move to throw out the idea to keep suspicion off of yourself?

    I mentioned it was a good point that I hadn’t thought of and asked if you had thoughts/suspicions of who Alie could be but I didn’t make note that you answered me. If you did, my apologies, could you please remind me? If not, could you answer now?

    As of Day 5 Meeghan had only voted for 2/5 confirmed Townies, which does not scream Mafia because many other players had voted for 3 and 4 confirmed Townies. In Day 5 you voted Amber B, who was Mt. Weather turned to the 100. Day 6 you voted Maria not Greg, who was confirmed to be Mafia. These voting habits don’t scream Mafia, but they do make me question you for Cult, potentially Cult leader.

    As a result, to get a vote up on the board I’m going to

    VOTE MEEGHAN

    to get things moving. I may change this once I see your responses, but it’s where I’m at for now.

  25. @Shannon:

    Day 4 – she does heavy analysis of everyone. She is also the first one (I believe? Apologies if I am mis-remembering) to bring up that the Cult might not be Mt Weather turning Grounders into Reapers, but instead might be Alie as the leader recruiting people into the City of Light cult.

    I think there had been some speculation about A.L.I.E. showing up previous to D4, but I was looking at that Day specifically to see what you were talking about. In Meeghan’s post about Megan Rose she said:

    And based on what we can see from the gems stone colours, it would appear that the lead Reaper/Cult Leader is likely third party and not mafia, but maybe also Ark related??

    To which I replied:

    Question: the Jaha in the series that becomes part of A.L.I.E.’s cult…isn’t that Thelonious? 😬 Well, not him apparently. Maybe A.L.I.E. herself?

    I was googling a lot of characters at that point, hence my question about the connection between Thelonious Jaha and A.L.I.E. Is this the reference you were asking about in the quoted section above? D4 has a lot of Meeghan posts (wrap ups on everyone and so forth) so I wanted to be sure.

  26. @Harker,

    I had to look back at your day 5 examination to try to understand your suspicion of me. This seems to be the only real point:

    “But then Anne calls into question/casts doubt on the existence of the cult:

    ‘And @Harker, not sure what to take with your statement. Yeah, okay, a cult can catch up on the town, but the mafia is a threat we know exists right now.’

    The difference is slight, but I think I see one now, looking back. What is the difference at this point that Anne would believe more in the existence of one and not the other? Or, to put it another way, cast doubt on one? We know the Mafia exists for sure, but not that the traitor does, so at that point she has no reason to believe in it more than the cult (from her perspective).

    CONCLUSION D3: I think Anne may be in the cult.”

    If I’m getting this right, you think I’m in the cult because I made a point to bring it up to you BEFORE it was even revealed to the town on Day 3? The “difference” as you mused on Day 5 when writing this post, was that we had a conformed mafia kill and zero info on a cult other than speculation on Day 3 when I made that comment. Day 4 is when Jeann was revealed and you conveniently first shared you were “informed.”

    On Day 3 instead of hunting mafia, you asked a whole list of people about the cult. Why wouldn’t I question your fixation on something that wasn’t even confirmed yet? Especially when we knew Mt. Weather was the mafia from Day 1 and you didn’t seem to care about that threat.

    You’ve even said on Day 6, “I am the information” — does that mean you are the cult leader and have lead us off your path for 7 Days?

  27. @Anne:

    If I’m getting this right, you think I’m in the cult because I made a point to bring it up to you BEFORE it was even revealed to the town on Day 3? The “difference” as you mused on Day 5 when writing this post, was that we had a conformed mafia kill and zero info on a cult other than speculation on Day 3 when I made that comment. Day 4 is when Jeann was revealed and you conveniently first shared you were “informed.”

    What I said was, and you quoted, was I was questioning why you thought it credible that a traitor existed but a cult was out of the question. It didn’t involve the Mafia kill.

    I do care about the Mafia threat. The problem is, unless someone tells the Town about the Cult threat one way or another, they gain a footing and can be impossible to root out before they’ve sunk their claws into the game, making it highly unlikely that anyone else can win. If I were the Cult Leader, I would never had said a word and just recruited happily at Night with nary a word about the whole business. Instead I’ve tried to protect us as much as I can by sharing what I know while not making myself an obvious target.

    My conclusion about you overall, encompassing D1-4, said:

    CONCLUSION OVERALL: I think it’s likely that Anne is in the cult who is doing a good job of blending in and not making many, if any, overt claims or theories.

    I haven’t looked at D5-6 recently but intend to do so toDay/toMorrow before the end of the Day.

  28. “It didn’t involve the Mafia kill.”

    And that’s the rub. Your evidence of me leaves out that my frustrations about the very real threat of the mafia on Day 3 were why I was asking you about your cult fixation. You didn’t seem to want to help the town eliminate the mafia when we knew they existed. If that makes me cult in your mind 🤷🏼‍♀️

    I feel like your throwaway vote for Jeann could have been a strategic way to distance yourself from her if she was voted out that Night. She was getting a ton of pressure via Greg/mafia, and if you showed you were not on her side if she was eliminated no one would consider you part of it.

    “Instead I’ve tried to protect us as much as I can by sharing what I know while not making myself an obvious target.”

    You’ve been a pretty obvious target for the cult this whole time. Am I supposed to believe, if you are not the cult leader, that you haven’t been recruited despite all your attention on finding them? And mafia didn’t have a reason to target you because you let them slip a few times. Why would mafia eliminate you when you were not focused on them at all?

    Feels like you have a different win condition specific to the cult… Whether that’s because you are on it or otherwise, not sure.

  29. My win condition is quite simple and has nothing to do specifically with the cult: it is to eliminate all threats to our team, The 100, survive.

    My vote for Jeann was because I was so sure that something was up there and I was trying to convince others of what I saw. I felt right and was trying to prove it. Unfortunately the voting aspect didn’t turn out, but she was a Cultist in the end. Aside from this vote, however, my votes have helped vote out quite a few non-Town parties so “not wanting to help” just isn’t true.

    I have been interested in getting the Mafia out, I have been voting for them after all. My EOD votes have been: Nicole (Mafia – success), Dana (3rd Party – success), Jeann, Kerys (note: this was the day I tried to vote out Greg), Amber B. (Mafia – success), Greg (Mafia – success).

    I can’t explain why the Mafia hasn’t tried to target me at Night. Maybe they have and something has stopped them. That’s up to either them or someone else to explain, maybe the post-game spreadsheet. As for not being recruited, I most assuredly have not probably through my own gameplay and, like I said, protecting us.

  30. Voting Update:

    Meeghan (1) — Shannon

    Not voting: Harker, Beth, Meeghan, Maria, Anne

    Haven’t met comment minimum: Meeghan (1), Shannon (3)

    Also, Maria messaged me to say she probably has food poisoning and will likely not return for Day Seven.

    Just under 26 hours to go!

  31. OK, I’ll be posting several novels analyzing Anne, Shannon, Harker, and Meeghan as potential Cultist/Cult Leader. Please bear with me on the length- this took days to write up.

    I’m guessing at least one will get caught in moderator purgatory, so I’m gonna post my overall findings here, and then the subsequent posts will lay out the data. My suspicions on who is likely Cult, from highest suspicion to least suspicion are:
    Anne
    Meeghan
    Shannon
    Harker
    (I still think Maria is Mafia)

    Note:
    I’m starting with D2 behavior, because N1 would’ve been the earliest chance for Cult to recruit, and the best way I can think to find Cult is to look for players whose behavior/stance on people changes without a solid reason/explanation, in addition to any potential bandwagoning/deflection to protect others).
    I’m also looking closely at ties with Jeann, for additional data points. We don’t know when she was recruited, so I’m just gonna assume she was the first recruited to the Cult, and go from there.
    I’m not including D7 stuff.

  32. Anne

    D2
    Explains suspicion of Harker, was the first to vote and voted Dana, also voiced suspicion of Megan.
    My thoughts: There’s a pattern of Anne throwing slight suspicion onto Harker (see subsequent Days, below), but nothing in Anne’s posts on D2 throw red flags for me.

    D3
    Comments on the Greg-in-a-Night-chat/Kerys-and-Jeann-in-a-Night-chat reveal:

    Neighbors have no idea if they are aligned, except for their word. So one or the other could be lying to play a nice long con, or they’re both telling the truth. 🤷🏼‍♀️

    My thoughts: Throwing a little shade on Jeann to distance herself, in case one was killed and outed as Cult? Her phrasing is not really accusatory, more questioning, so not sure.

    Harker asks Anne to chime in on the Cult discussion/theories. Her response:

    But @Harker, why do you want seven people to chime in about an unfounded theory around cults? This feels really odd to me?
    I have no opinion because I have not seen evidence so far either way.

    She then says this:

    Yeah, okay, a cult can catch up on the town, but the mafia is a threat we know exists right now. Asking for lots of speculation about something seems like a distraction tactic from what we know: Mt. Weather is the enemy.

    My thoughts: Possible deflection from the Cult topic?
    It’s worth noting here that Jeann responds relatively soon after Anne does, also with respect to Harker’s question, and says something similar.

    Jeann then calls out Anne for suspicious behavior/statement:

    How do you know that Mafia didn’t know this beforehand? If Greg is in the Mafia chat sharing this information, then they know this already.
    Maybe I’m just particularly suspicious but it kind of looks to me like you’re kind of letting this slide.

    My thoughts: Possibly Jeann wanting to not appear to be avoiding broaching the topic of Cult, throw suspicion on Harker to get them to back off the topic of Cult, and then maybe not appear to be avoiding calling Anne out (so, in case one of them was killed and outed as Cult, the other could hide behind a defense of “but they were suspicious of me on D3”).

    D4
    Anne’s first comment of the day:

    I kinda track with Kerrie’s swap to see what Harker would do because it was odd they had a vote for Jeann and didn’t budge when it came down to the wire. Are they in the same chat as Greg? Now, I agree with the Ark/100 comments being a red flag on Day 1 (that’s why I voted them). But I don’t think they are necessarily cult because that does not follow with Jeann being cult and them voting Jeann. I assume the cult knows whose in the cult?

    My thoughts: Possibly throwing suspicion on Harker to protect Jeann?

    Calls out Harker:

    Harker what does this mean:
    “I admit that I think I narrowed in in Jeann a bit because I found her behavior yesterDay to be particularly sus when compared to Greg’s. That may have been because I knew what I was looking for vs what I wasn’t.”
    You knew what you were looking for? You just said you didn’t know Jeann was for sure cult. What did you know?

    (Which Harker answers with similar info to what they said yesterDay)
    Anne then asks Harker for more info about how they knew about a Cult and what tipped them off about Jeann. She expresses suspicion about how many players are claiming insider knowledge about another player.
    My thoughts: Possibly trying to determine if Harker is a threat to Cult by finding out what they can do? Or possibly trying to throw more shade on Harker?

    It’s important to note that Meeghan theorizes that Jeann and Anne might be Cult members here: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/03/the-100-day-four/#comment-79834 and then Meeghan theorizes that myself and Anne might be Cult members, right afterward: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/03/the-100-day-four/#comment-79836
    Anne doesn’t comment on this (or anything, for the remainder of the day)

    D5
    There’s a switch up here, as Anne asks Harker for their thoughts on the Cult after it was revealed to be in play and Harker’s suspicions about Jeann were accurate: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/10/30952/#comment-79958

    Harker theorizes that Anne is Cult: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/10/30952/#comment-79974
    Anne’s response:

    Your focus on the cult made no sense to me on Day 3 when a cult wasn’t even confirmed at that point, hence my questions to you about why you were placing such a big focus there (speculating on roles) instead of mafia. You stated on Day 4 that you had this info on cult from the start. Obviously on Day 4 with Jeann’s death we all knew, but I had no reason to think there was one before.

    My thoughts: This is plausible and makes sense, but interesting when held against the Meeghan comments from D4, which as far as I can tell, Anne never addresses.

    Mentions Cult when she talks about suspicions:

    Anna’s comments are giving me life. I don’t think she is cult or mafia at this point, and if she is a town poisoner, then maybe Maria is indeed walking the plank. I think the extra deaths are now “proven” to be Anna’s doing?? If we eliminated two whole mafia in one day, maybe we’d actually stand a chance to live long enough to get the cult.

    D6
    Comments on the amount of Cult in play:

    So I’d have to think it would be less than 4 cult right now since we’re still playing? (Phew)

    And in terms of cult, I feel like that’s just going to be based on guess since there’s nothing like end of day voting to tie to, which is where I have focused my energies. Though, I would think that the cult is as invested in voting out the mafia as the town is (less competition for resources, i.e., townspeople), but since votes for suspected mafia are always thisclose, I still think we’re dealing with a small cult. I’m going to take a look there with that lens and see what pans out.

    Maria theorizes that Anne is Cult: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/17/30977/#comment-80245
    I don’t see where Anne addresses that suspicion.

    Overall:
    Re: Interactions with Jeann: Anne questions Jeann’s allegiance w/r/t Night chat/Neighbors; Jeann says something similar to Anne (D3) about the threat of a Cult vs Mafia; Jeann calls out Anne for suspicious statement; puts some suspicion on Harker in a potential act to protect Jeann (D4)

    Re: Discussing the existence of the Cult: Possibly deflection (D3); Doesn’t address accusations on D4 & D6 from Meeghan and Maria, but does address Harker’s on D5; does lightly discuss the Cult in D4, D5, and D6 but doesn’t speculate who might be in it.

    TL;DR
    I think it’s possible Anne is Cult, especially given the lack of speculation on who could be Cult and the lack of response to accusations that she’s Cult.

  33. Meeghan

    D2
    Comments on Jeann’s statement about what the Town is called:

    @Jeann, On one hand, I agree with you but on the other hand, I think that anyone who is Grounders or 100 or Ark (IF they are all separate pro-town entities) WOULD be confused by what town is called.

    Posits Cult can only recruit Grounders:

    The other thing that puts Dana and Shannon in the same camp for me is that Shannon W brings up Reapers as “definitely” being in seasons 1-3 of the show. While she was the fourth person to mention them (Greg, Amber G, Harker, Shannon), she also aligned them to the Grounders as well as Mt Weather team. (Mt Weather turned Grounders into Reapers.) Since Kara has been so adamant that Grounders are pro-town, that struck me as odd, but maybe this is a Cultist thing and only Grounders are able to be turned?? Which means that maybe we do need to have Grounders to win, or at least not let them all be turned.
    Someone who is a Reaper / Cultist may know that they can only turn Grounders, so Kara’s speculation that Shannon W is Grounder aligned because she called Grounders ‘victims’ could fit. (Maybe we don’t keep shouting about who we think all the Grounders are??)

    D3
    Harker asks Meeghan to chime in about the Cult theory, and she responds:

    @Harker, Speaking of cult, I’d like to put my hand up as having theorised about it a couple of times. In fact, I keep getting quoted (although I was a bit sleep addled, and can confirm that my theories tend to lead toward the slightly out there).

    Says she’s suspicious of Kerys, mentions Cult could be another chat (re: the Amber G reveal about Greg being in a Chat): https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/01/27/the-100-day-three/#comment-79527

    D4
    In response to Cult being confirmed, reiterates theory that only Grounders can be recruited: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/03/the-100-day-four/#comment-79698

    Posits we have a Cultafia:

    Sorry, I got confused from all my notes that a ‘cultafia’ is the mafia in a cult form.
    According to the roles, I DO believe that the Cult is a Cultafia because they can kill OR recruit. Although this may not be voluntary as they wouldn’t know who Grounders are.

    Posits Kerys might be Cult and Greg might be a Grounder:

    However, Jeann either KEPT her neighbour role, or gained it after being recruited. Which begs the question, is the neighbour chat actually a Cult chat? And were they framing Greg because they know he isn’t a Grounder based on his speculation on D1 about whether Grounders are pro-town or anti-town.

    On one hand, it literally says NEIGHBOUR in Jeann’s abilities, so it’s entirely possible that she and Kerys had a neighbour chat that had been with them since the start and it just wasn’t taken away (for reasons unknown) when she was recruited.
On the other hand, what the hell is a ‘Jobi Nut Vendor’, and I’m assuming it was crossed out because that IS a lost ability, so why wasn’t the neighbour chat taken away?
    Or did the mods just not take it away because then Kerys would be sus of Jeann as she was still playing and taking away their chat would raise more questions when Jeann wasn’t allowed to say she had joined the cult?

    She posts a few novels about characters, the biggest takeaways (re: Cult) being:

    Given that we now know that Jeann was Cult, I’m super impressed that Harker picked it up so quickly, and given their adamant focus on voting out the Cult, my guess is that they aren’t Cult aligned.

    Re: Amber B saying she doesn’t think ALIE would be in the game:

    Given that we have now seen how Jeann reacted when questioned about Cult, this pings as a red flag for me….If you’re cult (which is what I’m leaning towards Amber B being), then you would absolutely want to throw suspicion onto someone else who has joked about cult and code words.

    Looking at this in retrospect, yes I can now see that Megan is one of the first to call (a) town The 100, however it was the “I’m assuming” which threw me at the time. And based on what we can see from the gems stone colours, it would appear that the lead Reaper/Cult Leader is likely third party and not mafia, but maybe also Ark related??
    Megan speculates that Jaha is the Cult Leader and Murphy would be a Survivor. Could the Traitor be a Grounder who is actually Ice Nation?

    Re: Kerys

    Ahhhh, but they might have turned you last night. OR Jeann could have told them you were in a neighbour chat (depending on when Jeann was turned and whether cult has a chat), so that’s not really a valid explanation.

    More speculation about the Cult:

    I now don’t think Reapers are a thing / Cult. I then thought that Jaha was the Cult Leader as he has more to do with the City of Light/ALIE. This would lead more to them being third party aligned as from what I can gather, Jaha was originally in the Ark and was not a Grounder/Mountain Man.

    Based on what we have seen in regards to Jeann’s comments about Cult, I then went back and looked for anyone who mentioned ALIE, especially anyone who said it was unlikely they would be in the game:

    (Says this is Amber B)
    Posits Jeann and Anne are Cult.
    In her following post, posits that myself and Anne are Cult.

    D5
    States suspicion of Maria:

    From this statement alone I would say she isn’t Grounder or Ark. She could be 100, third party or mafia.

    Later says this to Maria:

    Additionally, your comments toDay seem highly vested in finding out who the Cult is and voting them out first. This is understandable as I’m also keen to do this. However, since it’s possible that Cult can also turn mafia members, it does make me wonder if this is more of a priority for you.
    I’d love to hear your thoughts on finding and voting out mafia members too, because I don’t think you have shared any.

    D6
    Expresses concern about lack of Cult deaths:

    Also, we’ve only got 8 players left, and I feel like Town is quickly declining. The fact that we’ve only found 1 cultist, and that was from a night kill, is really concerning me.

    States suspicion if Maria, but adds:

    Yes, Greg is playing an interesting game. I also want to go back and look at Anne and Shannon.
    I feel like Harker and Beth are helping with analysis and I agree with them so much that I’ve listed them as town in my head. But Beth could also be Cult and maybe Harker has been converted by now.

    Considers Cult recruitment protection roles:

    Especially given that we have mafia, cult and third party against us. I am curious if the doctor role could block cult recruits as well??

    Responds to Harker re: Jeann/Kerys chat reveal:

    I didn’t think Kerys or Jeann had anything to gain by this, unless it was a long shot mafia ploy. It was part of the reason that I was so confused/suspicious of their announcement. I couldn’t see a benefit to putting it out, especially as I thought it would put a target on their backs by mafia, which it looks like it did with Jeann dying on N3. Additionally, with Jeann out on N3 it confirmed that the Cult existed which is why I can’t understand why Jeann agreed with Kerys to put it out in the open. Unless Jeann was recruited N2 and hadn’t told Kerys she didn’t want to be outed any more. I can’t remember if Jeann had commented on D3 before Kerys outed their chat. Even now knowing that they were both Town, I still don’t understand their reasoning for outing their chat.

    Posits the Cult was targeting Greg (as a Townie):

    I don’t think that Greg is Cult, but it’s probable that he is mafia. I think that Cult are going after Greg for some reason though (maybe they tried to recruit him and they were unsuccessful? Does a bulletproof vest stop a recruitment?).

    Overall:
    Re: Interactions with Jeann: Only comments on 1 Jeann post, no direct interaction between them that I found

    Re: Discussing the existence of the Cult: posits Cult can only recruit Grounds on D2, but goes back and forth about this theory on D4; suggests several potential Cultists (including Kerys, Amber B, myself, Anne, Jeanne, Maria, and Harker)

    I think Meeghan might be Cult, though I don’t find her as suspicious as Anne at this point.
    Primarily this is because her theories about Cult swing so wildly on D4 that it almost seems like a distraction, and because she (like Maria) seems to suspect almost everyone of being Cult on D3, D4, and D5, which feels a bit like a way to seem active in the discussion without connecting yourself to any specific person who might later be proved to be Cult.

  34. Shannon

    D2
    Voices suspicion of Greg and votes for him.
    In response to Meeghan, mentions her previous bringing up of Reapers on D1 (as Grounders turned by Mt Weather into zombie-like creatures).

    D3
    Voices repeated suspicion of Greg.

    Agrees with Jeann and puts suspicion on Harker:

    @Jeann I completely agree with your observations that Amber B has spent the majority of toDay defending Greg and not much else! You bringing her earlier comment up about her being skeptical of non-voters but then not bringing that up against Greg is something I didn’t put together, and is very important to keep in mind!
    In regards to @Harker, they have been defneding Greg today. They later also brought up the fact that Greg has spent too much time defending himself toDay and asked him for his suspicions… Trying to get the heat off him? Which would make sense if they are mafia teammates… Just another thought that crossed my mind.

    D4
    Considers Kerys as potential Cultist:

    And we then we lost Jeann overnight, who seemed very helpful to Town but turned out to be CULT?! It does confirm my worry that Mt. Weather may turn Grounders into Reapers (per the show) which someone mentioned may be a Cult aspect (I forget who and can’t check now but it was in Day 1)… Since she was a neighbor the people in the chat could be any alliance but I wonder if that means Kerys may also be a Cult member?!

    2. Given that Kerys was in a chat with Jeann and Jeann was a Cult member ,Kerys may ALSO be a cult member… Her vote switching in the last minute with no explanation also makes me think this based on her trying to save Greg if Greg is the leader of Mt. Weather or the Cult leader…

    Then questions Greg about his Cult assertions:

    @Greg you said “if by chance Kerys were Kane or Octavia, they would presumably be friendlies? I’d assume Kane is Ark and Octavia is 100. But again these are all assumptions. And if she was then co- opted by the Cult it wouldn’t matter her original affiliation as she’s be Cultist, obvs.”
    Others (I can’t remember who… maybe even you? I’m not sure and I don’t have the time to go back and look right now) have mentioned that they think the Cult can only turn Grounders. Why do you think an Ark or 100 character can be turned to Cult now when no one else has thought that?

    Note: It was Megan who posited the Cult could only turn Grounders.

    In response to Meeghan’s analysis:

    I did read your comment about the cults thoroughly and you bringing up the possibility of Alie being the Cult leader has really made me think. I have been so focused/worried about Mt. Weather turning Grounders into Reapers and that possibly being the cult that I didn’t even think of that scenario. Do you have any thoughts/suspicions who Alie could be?!

    D5
    Comments on the Cult situation, furthering their stance in agreement with Meeghan from EOD4:

    @Greg/everyone – I think at this point the Cult is a 3rd party lead by Allie/City of Light. I don’t think Grounders being turned into Reapers by Mt. Weather makes sense anymore, because then it seems like it would be a Cultafia situation, but all the information we have leads to Cult and Mafia being different teams. The information I’m referring to is that Mt. Weather/Mafia has a red gem on their tombstones, 3rd Party Dana/Murphy had a green gem, Townies (the Ark, the 100, and Grounders) have a yellow gem. Jeann/Indria was a Grounder before being turned to a Cult member and she has green/yellow marker on her tombstone rather than red of Mt. Weather/Mafia.

    Posits that Harker could be the Cult Leader:

    Harker – I HAD thought Harker was defending Greg and that they were teammates but the last-second vote switch attempt makes me wonder if Harker is third party… Possibly Allie/the Cult leader if what Meeghan suggested towards the end of yesterDay is true?! I know you voted for Jeann Day 3 and we found out she was a cult member when she died overNight, but since you were the only vote for her it’s possible that you were doing that to create distance knowing she wasn’t going to get voted out.
    I also feel like Harker is spending a lot of time so far today discussing the Cult and trying to figure out how many people they may have turned. While normally I would think a Cult leader or member would want to avoid talking about it/drawing attention to it; at this point I think it is obvious people are going to focus on it so they may be trying to be out and open about it to avoid suspicion.

    Note: She later says she knows this isn’t much information to go off of for suspicion, but need to start somewhere.

    In response to my saying she (and Anna) didn’t bring up the possibility of a Cult before Jeann’s death confirmed it:

    @Beth not sure why you would be suspicious of me being Cult, I am the one the bright up Mt. Weather turning Grounders into Reapers which many people said sounded like a potential cult aspect. I didn’t specifically say the word Cult, but I assure you I am not in it.

    D6
    Includes a Cult mention in her first comment:

    I have to re-read through toDay’s comments again but I think it’s important to focus our efforts more on finding and voting off Mafia and Cult members before we all end up dead while focusing on what Amber B did or didn’t do.

    Harker theorizes Shannon is Cult: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/17/30977/#comment-80161
    Which Shannon responds to: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/17/30977/#comment-80167

    Professes ignorance to the existence of a Cult Night chat:

    @Maria I only said Mafia because I know (based on everyone’s comments) there is a Mafia chat . Do Cult members have a chat as well? I have no knowledge of Cult powers/abilities or how it works in general. I haven’t seen anyone talking about a Cult chat in which they can talk and strategise, so if they have one as well it is simply my ignorance of how the Cult works which led to me not mentioning them as well.

    My thoughts: I find this mildly suspicious, because why *wouldn’t* all anti-Town groups have a Night chat? By this point the Cultafia in ADSOM had been brought up, including that it had a Night chat, and there was talk among Amber G and Harker on D3 about whether the Cult would have a chat. Also, on D4 Maria asked about whether Cult would have a chat (Harker responded that it was likely).

    Overall:
    Re: Interactions with Jeann: Agrees with/supports Jeann in D3

    Re: Discussing the existence of the Cult: Posits Mt Weather turning Grounders into Reapers as a possible Cult in D1 and D4; agrees with Meeghan that ALIE/City of Light is likely the Cult in D4 and D5; speculates potential Cult Leader/cultists D4 and D5.

    I think it’s unlikely Shannon is Cult.
    Her question about whether they’d have a chat or not is the only thing that raises a red flag for me.

  35. Harker

    D2
    Points out Megan’s original statement about Reapers being Cult:

    Since you brought up a line of questioning Greg and the first part, this has me thinking, first, that maybe Megan mentioned something that we will have to deal with (whether through design or luck): a cult function. Greg does mostly refer to Mt. Weather as Mt. Weather, though from the Wiki I found and posted about D1, those residents are called Mountain Men. Perhaps it was a slip/clue? 

    Agrees with Jeann about Amber B’s voting oddness: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/01/20/the-100-day-two/#comment-79220

    D3
    In response to Kerys’ speculation about the existence of a Cult, they list out who all has mentioned a Cult thus far (Kara, Kerrie, Megan, Nicole, myself, themselves, Meeghan): https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/01/27/the-100-day-three/#comment-79363

    Agrees with Jeann about Greg oddness and the Amber G reveal: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/01/27/the-100-day-three/#comment-79387

    Expresses suspicion of Jeann and votes for her:

    I’m somewhat suspicious of Jeann because of her comments toDay thus far…There is also the matter of that she didn’t even mention Greg yesterDay, but votes for him toDay and there’s been no mention of the people that she had suspicions of yesterDay (Dana, Amber, Megan Rose). Amber G.’s info reveal, again, could have influenced this but this goes back to the speed of the votes. It would be the same for anyone, votes piling up fast, but I think the not mentioning/interacting at all makes me curious.

    They then have a bit of a back and forth, and Jeann reiterates why she’s suspicious of Greg.

    After Kerys reveals her Neighbor chat with Jeann, Harker asks Jeann to weigh in about Amber G’s reveal:

    There are different kinds of alarming activity that can happen and honestly I was wondering if Jeann or one of the other quick voters was a cult member of some kind (whether that’s different from the Mafia I don’t know) due to what I’d seen in the different Days.

    Amber asks whether Cult has a chat and Harker replies:

    @Amber: I think it depends on game mechanics. In the two previous versions of Bookish Games, BYOC it took the place of the Mafia so I assume it had one (I only got recruited the final Night so I never had access). In the ADSOM version, there was a Cultafia (Cult/Mafia hybrid) which I believe had a chat, so odds are a cult would have one.

    Points out a discrepancy between how Kerys refers to their chat and how Jeann does (Neighbor/Mason):

    There is a distinction between the two and while perhaps Jeann slipped and used them interchangeably, it piqued my curiosity because it could also be a recovery of sorts. Masons, while still having a chat, are always pro-Town and would be paint Jeann in a better light daytime wise (assuming for a moment she is anti-Town and thus not at risk of being Night lynched).

    Asks specific people to weigh in on the Cult discussion (Anna, Anne, Amber B, Jeann, Maria, Meeghan, Shannon): https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/01/27/the-100-day-three/#comment-79474

    Asks Jeann a hypothetical about Kerys’ reveal of their chat: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/01/27/the-100-day-three/#comment-79495
    It’s worth noting that Jeann responds to the request to weigh in on the Cult discussion:

    I’m not sure either way about a cult, well it COULD be a possibility? I haven’t had any reason to believe so at the moment. Tbh it looks distracting to me that you’re trying to shift the focus on a potential cult and other threats, when as Anne said, Mt Weather is our confirmed threat for now.

    Harker outright says they’re trying to see whose behavior indicates Cult:

    I’m trying to warn people. Apparently subtly is being conflated with suspicion. I apologize for that. The two games I’ve played where a cult existed there were two outcomes: we got exceedingly lucky that the leader slipped up and we voted him out. The other, the cult won after N3. While the Mafia is obviously the expected threat (unless there are twists such as the game where there is no Mafia 🙃), in this case as you’ve pointed out Mt. Weather, I was trying to figure out whose behavior might have changed or converted from D1-3, hence the asking subtle (and apparently sus) questions about theories.

    D4
    Reiterates stance on Cult and expresses suspicion of Kerys:

    Assuming the cult didn’t convert Kerys last Night, this makes me a bit suspicious of her because prior to her conversion, Jeann was Team Grounders, a pro-Town/Town team. If they were both Town/pro-Town, why wouldn’t it be a Mason chat?

    In response to Anne’s question about what they knew about Jeann:

    @Anne: I knew there was a cult and I had to look out for something that would indicate behavior either that someone had been turned or that they were turning people, though that seems harder to determine, I think, considering that people turned may not be able to talk about being in the cult. Their answers could be restricted or inconsistent from previous days or something along those lines.

    Chimes in on Meeghan’s theory about Cult Grounder-only recruitment: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/03/the-100-day-four/#comment-79704

    Expresses more suspicion about Kerys being Cult, and votes for her: https://thebookishgames.wordpress.com/2021/02/03/the-100-day-four/#comment-79725

    In response to Kerys positing Harker is the Cult Leader:

    That would be a big brained move. 😆 Wasn’t there someone who did that in the HP game or something? I think I heard about it once. It isn’t the case here, but thank you for thinking me so capable as coming up with a plan like that. 😘

    D5
    Speculates on Town and anti-Town numbers:

    My guess, going by who has been eliminated so far, is that there are roughly 2-3 Mt. Weather people left. There’s at least one Cult person left because Jeann wasn’t the Cult Leader. Assuming they were able to recruit someone every Night (best case scenario for them) and that the Leader started out alone, that would be a max of 5 Cultists toDay. I do not think that is the case because between Jeann being gone, weakening their recruitment, and Meeghan’s theory, I don’t think they’ve been able to recruit every Night so they’re not at max numbers.

    Comments about difficulty in focusing on trying to determine the Cult Leader:

    Trying to figure out who the Cult Leader who turn is kind of like trying to figure out who the Mafia would kill at Night. 🥴 I’ll need to look at my notes and the Days a little more to assess, given what has been revealed toDay with the Deaths. Given that Greg has managed to escape lynching a couple times now, I do think there might be something to him. Whether the Mafia is leaving him because they think he’ll cause more chaos (possible) or the Cult has recruited him/he’s leading it (also possible), I’m not sure.

    Suspicious about Anna:

    I’m not sure if Meeghan’s theory is accurate, as intriguing it is, though it is making me think about alternatives. If it is accurate, then I would be more inclined to think that Anna is something else such as a Cult member. Either way, I do not think that Anna is a Townsperson.

    Suspicious about Anne:

    I think it’s likely that Anne is in the cult who is doing a good job of blending in and not making many, if any, overt claims or theories.

    In response to Shannon positing they’re the Cult Leader:

    I am focusing on the cult information (i.e. talking about the odds and so forth) because that is the information that I know and that I can build on. If I were the leader, I would not be belaboring the point like this, considering that the cult works best in secrecy. The same thing holds true as cultist. If I were suddenly recruited, I’d expect to see some change but not the same or an increase.

    Suspicious about Maria:

    I find Maria to potentially be an anti-Town person, though I’m undecided as to what alignment other than that.

    D6
    Some back and forth with Anne about the potential number of Cult left in game.

    Responds to Meeghan’s suspicion that they may be Cult:

    If you’ll take my word, I’m definitely not Cult. I’m still as committed as ever to finding them and defeating them and the Mafia.

    Expresses suspicion of Shannon:

    I do think that Shannon was Town when the game started, but I think she may have been recruited to the Cult, possibly N4.

    In response to Maria’s suspicions of them:

    I wrote Greg’s post last week when I’d/we’d still been theorizing that only Grounders could be turned into Cult members and that anyone else would die. With Anna’s revelation/confirmation/claiming of specific deaths in relation to the overall number of them, that theory didn’t make as much sense anymore. My suspicions of Greg, therefore, evolved. He could be either at this point, but I don’t think he’s pro-Town.

    Overall:
    Re: Interactions with Jeann: Agrees with Jeann in D2, but by D3 it’s clear that Harker suspects Jeann of being anti-Town

    Re: Discussing the existence of the Cult: From D2 onward, Harker talks about the existence of the Cult pretty often, including actively asking others about it and outright stating suspicions.

    I don’t think Harker is Cult.
    Their focus has consistently included getting others’ input, not just accusing others, which feels like an earnest and genuine desire to find and eliminate Cult. They also have been focused on voting for suspected Mafia, so I can’t think of any strategy where that combination makes sense for someone in the Cult.

  36. After all of this, I’m falling over again, so although I usually place a vote around this time (-20 hours until EOD), I’m going to go lay down and rest, and be back to vote later tonight.

    @Maria I hope you feel better soon!

  37. @Beth,

    You said this in response to my first comment on Day 4:
    “My thoughts: Possibly throwing suspicion on Harker to protect Jeann?”

    At that point there was no ‘protecting of Jeann’ to be had. She was already dead via Night kill.

    You mention all the times I didn’t address suspicions about me being cult, but why would I? They are unfounded and there’s not much I can say in response of being accused other than I’m not cult. My assurances of my role are about as good as pocket lint.

  38. @Shannon

    Hi, you’re right. I did vote Maria over Greg several times. Mostly because Greg always made his most outlandish statements after I had gone to bed, which makes it hard to change my vote. (Please note that I likely to never wake up at 5am on a Monday morning to change my vote last minute. I am not a morning person.)

    I’m going to blockquote a big chunk of your earlier statement, and then address it point by point.

    Day 1 – votes for Kara not Nicole
    Day 2 – mentioned suspicions of me, said I tied Grounders to Reapers, voted for Dana
    Day 3 – was the 4th person to vote for Megan. Her reasoning was that she thought Greg might be the traitor. Said she was “hinky” of Kerys, Megan, and me. Megan was town and died in some end of Day madness.

    I’m not really sure what you want out of me for this. I feel like I’ve addressed it about 10 times. As someone who is Team Ark, I found Kara’s statements on D1 that anyone other than Grounders were anti-town, to be harmful in the game and untrue. So I voted for her. I found Dana and Megan’s EOD antics on D1 to be suspicious, and with as little as we had to go on at that point, I voted for Dana, and then Megan respectively.

    As I mentioned above, I usually go to with about 5-6 hours left before EOD. Some Days there are barely any votes on the board at this time, and some Days the votes swing wildly after I’ve signed off. This is something that I’ve had to make peace with during the course of many games. Not being there during EOD can be both, a blessing and a curse, as more information gets reveleaved closer to the time of people being voted off, and I’m not always there to change my vote.

    Day 4 – she does heavy analysis of everyone. She is also the first one (I believe? Apologies if I am mis-remembering) to bring up that the Cult might not be Mt Weather turning Grounders into Reapers, but instead might be Alie as the leader recruiting people into the City of Light cult.

    This stood out to me as a great thought that I had completely overlooked, but now looking back on it I wonder how you came up with it? Are you the Cult leader, and did you use this statement as a bold move to throw out the idea to keep suspicion off of yourself?

    Yep, someone else had mentioned ALIE a couple of times by this stage, and I went deep into The 100 wiki to try and figure out tenuous connections when I was doing my novel-length analysis. It is about as tenuous a guess as ‘the Reapers are Cultists made from Grounders’ (also my guess), as I don’t know that an AI character would be playable, and from my deep Wiki dive, I couldn’t find anyone other than Jaha who would be a good match with ALIE.

    To be fair to myself, it was about 2am by this stage and I may have just been having sleep-deprived red-string theories, but I also might have been onto something. (I did theorise that Anna was a townie with night-kill abilities – win. I also theorised that Jaha was the Cult leader, but it turns out Jaha was already out of the game at this stage – fail.)

    I mentioned it was a good point that I hadn’t thought of and asked if you had thoughts/suspicions of who Alie could be but I didn’t make note that you answered me. If you did, my apologies, could you please remind me? If not, could you answer now?

    I didn’t answer because I don’t have any suspicions about who ALIE might be. I don’t know the characters particularly well, and I try not to pin character names to players because I’m 100% certain that I’m not acting how my character would act (and I don’t even know that much about them) so it’s hard to draw linkages that way. I try and match how people act with whether they are acting in Town’s interest or causing chaos.

    And yes, I have tried to consider who might be in Cult. On D4 when I was doing my novel-length analysis, I was working on the assumption that Cult had recruited each Night, and therefore there could be 4 Cultists. So my list of possible suspects was long. Now that we know there could only be 2-3 otherwise they would have won by now, it limits who I think is in Cult.

    Maria – I still think is mafia
    Harker – I think is acting in Town’s interests
    Beth – possible cult, but leaning towards Town
    Anne – leaning towards Cult
    Shannon – I am on the fence about

    However, I really only know my own alignment, which I’ve been saying from the start. I do think it would be a mistake to vote me out, given my character, but ultimately, I can also say this until I’m blue in the face and it won’t make a lick of difference.

  39. @Beth: thank you for your last few posts about everyone. I hope you’re feeling better today. 🙂

    I’m about to start work so I want to get a vote in since it is EOD. I have a game scheduled for 9AM EST but I should be around after that for our end of game day as usual.

    VOTE ANNE

  40. @Beth and @Maria I hope you both feel better!

    @Meeghan thank you for your answers. Regardless of who you think Alie is, is there someone you are suspicious of being the Cult leader?

    I’m leaving my vote as of now, and have plans the next few hours, but I’m going to try to be back for the last hour-ish of the Day since that’s when everything always goes down

  41. @Shannon – I listed what I thought of everyone in my post. Anne is at the top of my suspicions list for being Cult, but I don’t know if that makes her the leader, or just a cult member in general. The thing that stands out for me most is that she was minimizing the discussion of a cult to begin with.

  42. Well, regardless of what you think my alignment is now, I’m not the cult leader. I shared my alignment on Day 2 when Kara questioned my vote for Harker about confusion over The Ark/100 on Day 1. (If you were in The 100, how could you be confused about what the kids were called in universe? You are one of the kids and your role is literally The 100.).

    I also dropped hints about my role on Days 1&3, discussing what I was here for and being sad half of my ship was gone after Kara died.

    My “minimization” on Day 3 was frustration at all the speculation when the mafia was a very real and present danger. Still are.

    I don’t know what to think of Meeghan other than she also never voted for Greg. And despite timezones differences, he was being shady 24/7 so I don’t really fully buy the line about gullibility.

    And self preservation, but I see the writing is in the wall with the analysis here.

    VOTE MEEGHAN

    Good luck to all of you. I have no idea who’ll win at this point! Doubt I’ll be back on toDay. Hope everyone’s feeling better; take care of yourselves.

    Greg, I also hope you are participating in spec chat so I can give you the hard time you deserve 😂

  43. Sorry for the disappearing act last night- I passed out pretty heavily and am just now waking up.
    I have my coffee, and I’ve caught up now.

    So as I previously stated, I think Anne and Meeghan are the two most likely to be in the Cult. And apparently you all think so as well, so I’m taking another look.

    Meeghan’s consistent support of Greg is still pinging on my radar. I think mostly because it was such a consistent focus for her- multiple days, multiple posts. And it’s also nagging at me that Maria- whom I have suspected for multiple Days as being anti-Town- believes Meeghan is the only person who isn’t Cult. Is Maria trying to protect her?

    However, Meeghan calls out Anne as potentially Cult (twice), and Anne of course is voting Meeghan, so I think it’s safe to say that they aren’t *both* Cult.
    Which puts me in an awkward place of doubting my own data, because (as stated) I don’t think Shannon and Harker are Cult. Maybe Maria is? Or maybe we only have the Cult Leader left?

    To Meeghan’s point about Anne minimizing the Cult discussion, Anne only does this one time (I’d say she was dismissive, not minimizing, but the point remains). Jeanne also does this, and we don’t know if Jeann was Cult by this point (which would indicate strategy) or not (and they both genuinely didn’t understand why Harker was chasing phantoms).

    Also, sorry @Anne for not thinking about when Jeann died- you’re correct and I should’ve struck that from my list before posting.
    I understand it’s difficult to respond to accusations (looking back at it, I didn’t respond to Meeghan’s accusations, either, nor Maria’s spaghetti-against-the-wall statements). Anne did respond to Harker’s comment, which was framed around an Anne statement (D5), which is easier than trying to respond to someone just saying “This person could be Cult???” (because no one in these games should believe another person who says “Oh, I’m not X”). So this is becoming less of a data point to me the more I think about it.

    Which leaves me with:
Which is more Cult-y, Anne’s consistent suspicion of Harker/Mafia focus and lack of speculation about who might be Cult, or Meeghan’s D4 Cult theory flip-flopping and spaghetti-against-the-wall accusations of nearly everyone?

    Harker said they figured out Jeann was Cult because Jeann’s behavior changed dramatically enough that it tipped them off. And in my summarizing of everyone, I feel like Meeghan’s behavior (around Cult theory and accusations) has been the most changing. Plus, the other anti-Town player behavior around her makes me concerned she’s anti-Town in *some* way. So I’m going to:

    VOTE MEEGHAN

  44. @Anne:

    Well, regardless of what you think my alignment is now, I’m not the cult leader. I shared my alignment on Day 2 when Kara questioned my vote for Harker about confusion over The Ark/100 on Day 1. (If you were in The 100, how could you be confused about what the kids were called in universe? You are one of the kids and your role is literally The 100.).

    I answered this question on D2 (https://tinyurl.com/29ajs2h8):

    @Anne: that wasn’t what I said. What I was asking was what they were called in-universe (not in-game or referring to in-game alliances) because I haven’t seen the show and the last time I read book one was 2015/2016.

    My question was referring to original source material, not Bookish Games material.

    When you say you shared your alignment, I’m not sure what you’re referring to because I went back to check since you referenced D2:

    I shared my alignment on Day 2 when Kara questioned my vote for Harker about confusion over The Ark/100 on Day 1.

    And what I found that was closest to that allusion was this:

    The Ark, though at the time I didn’t know The Ark was a thing. Jenn’s death confirms.)

    Which doesn’t share your alignment exactly but does make one think that, at least, you’re not on The Ark team. I assume you mean us to infer you’re a The 100 team member from that remark? I’m not sure if this is another case of semantics (shared/alluded to) but I wanted to address it since there’s time.

  45. Either that, or my vote counts in number but not name? Sorry- got buried in doing taxes because today is just gonna be painful. :/

  46. Alright, if nothing changes in the next 2 minutes I hope my suspicions were right and Meeghan is the Cult leader! 🤞 That will give us Town a chance to get the Mafia Tomorrow and win!

  47. Day Seven has officially ended. The person with the most votes (3) is Meeghan. Meeghan was Abby Griffin, The Ark, Doctor.

    It is now Night Seven. If you have a special role that involves a Night action, please submit the form by Tuesday 7pm GMT (48 hours from now, but honestly the sooner the better). The form can be found by clicking the “Current Game” link in the menu and scrolling to the bottom of the page.

    Are you ready for another Night Event? We’ve got a juicy one for you toNight.

    A man-beast hybrid starts chasing after you with the remains of his last meal hanging from his chin. He has a mace and a severed arm (the aforementioned meal) and he doesn’t seem to heed your pleas for mercy. How will you evade becoming dinner?

    If you’d like to enter, simply fill in the Night Action form with your response to our question. We’ll then randomly choose a winner (or loser).

    Day Eight will start on Wednesday 7pm GMT. Any additional casualties will be revealed at that time. Good luck!

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